Short-term Earthquake Prediction Based on Seismic Precursory Electric Signals Recorded on Ground Surface.
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“What today seems impossible, is tomorrow’s reality”
Dinos
List
of most recent (2012 up to date) global large seismicity.
EQ occurrence time is compared to M1 and Diurnal tidal components that have been calculated for each corresponding epicentral area.
Additionally, an estimate is made concerning the seismic potential of the regional seismogenic area in terms of an expected future large EQ magnitude.
The EQs data base of the USGS has been used and a circular seismogenic area has been considered with a radius of 300 Km.
M 6.1 - FIJI REGION - 2017-06-25 17:42:30 UTC
M 6.8 - OFFSHORE GUATEMALA - 2017-06-22 12:31:02 UTC
M 6.1 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2017-06-17 22:26:02 UTC
M 6.9 - GUATEMALA - 2017-06-14 07:29:06 UTC
M 6.3 - NEAR THE COAST OF WESTERN TURKEY - 2017-06-12 12:28:37 UTC
M 6.0 - BALLENY ISLANDS REGION - 2017-06-03 19:17:34 UTC
M 6.7 - NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2017-06-02 22:24:48 UTC
M 6.6 - SULAWESI, INDONESIA - 2017-05-29 14:35:23 UTC
M 6.0 - BOHOL, PHILIPPINES - 2017-05-20 01:06:13 UTC
M 6.2 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2017-05-15 13:22:38 UTC
M 6.2 - OFFSHORE EL SALVADOR - 2017-05-12 10:41:25 UTC
M 6.4 - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION - 2017-05-10 23:23:36 UTC
M 6.8 - VANUATU - 2017-05-09 13:52:12 UTC
M 6.1 - RYUKYU ISLANDS, JAPAN - 2017-05-09 01:54:13 UTC
M 6.4 - ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS. - 2017-05-08 17:00:47 UTC
M 6.3 - SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA - 2017-05-01 14:18:15 UTC
M 6.2 - SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA - 2017-05-01 12:31:53 UTC
M 6.8 - MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES - 2017-04-28 20:23:18 UTC
M 6.9 - OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE - 2017-04-24 21:38:27 UTC
M 6.0 - OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE - 2017-04-23 02:36:07 UTC
M 6.0 - NORTHERN PERU - 2017-04-18 17:49:54 UTC
M 6.0 - FIJI REGION - 2017-04-18 17:11:48 UTC
M 6.3 - ANTOFAGASTA, CHILE - 2017-04-15 08:19:43 UTC
M 6.1 - NORTHEASTERN IRAN - 2017-04-05 06:09:11 UTC
M 6.5 - BOTSWANA - 2017-04-03 17:40:17 UTC
M 6.6 - NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2017-03-29 04:09:22 UTC
M 6.2 - NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2017-03-27 10:50:18 UTC
M 6.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2017-03-19 15:43:26 UTC
M 6.0 - NICOBAR ISLANDS, INDIA REGION - 2017-03-14 02:51:16 UTC
M 6.3 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2017-03-05 22:47:56 UTC
M 6.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2017-03-04 02:58:25 UTC
M 6.9 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2017-02-24 17:28:44 UTC
M 6.5 - CHUQUISACA, BOLIVIA - 2017-02-21 14:09:04 UTC
M 6.4 - JUJUY, ARGENTINA - 2017-02-18 12:10:14 UTC
M 6.5 - MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES - 2017-02-10 14:03:42 UTC
M 6.3 - SOUTHWESTERN PAKISTAN - 2017-02-07 22:03:54 UTC
M 6.0 - VANUATU - 2017-01-30 23:35:24 UTC
M 8.0 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2017-01-22 04:30:25 UTC
M 6.7 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2017-01-19 23:04:16 UTC
M 6.0 - FIJI REGION - 2017-01-14 06:11:40 UTC
M 6.4 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2017-01-10 15:27:16 UTC
M 7.3 - CELEBES SEA - 2017-01-10 06:13:47 UTC
M 6.1 - DEVON ISLAND, NUNAVUT, CANADA - 2017-01-08 23:47:12 UTC
M 6.0 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2017-01-03 22:40:11 UTC
M 7.0 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2017-01-03 21:52:31 UTC
M 6.3 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2017-01-02 13:14:03 UTC
M 6.2 - SUMBAWA REGION, INDONESIA - 2016-12-29 22:30:19 UTC
M 7.7 - ISLA CHILOE, LOS LAGOS, CHILE - 2016-12-25 14:22:28 UTC
M 6.7 - KEPULAUAN BARAT DAYA, INDONESIA - 2016-12-21 00:17:17 UTC
M 6.4 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-12-20 04:21:27 UTC
M 6.1 - CENTRAL PERU - 2016-12-18 13:30:12 UTC
M 6.2 - STATE OF YAP, MICRONESIA - 2016-12-18 09:47:05 UTC
M 6.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-12-18 05:46:24 UTC
M 6.3 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-12-17 11:27:40 UTC
M 7.9 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-12-17 10:51:09 UTC
M 6.1 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-12-10 16:24:37 UTC
M 6.1 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-12-09 21:38:24 UTC
M 6.9 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-12-09 19:10:05 UTC
M 6.5 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-12-08 21:56:07 UTC
M 7.8 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-12-08 17:38:46 UTC
M 6.5 - OFF COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA - 2016-12-08 14:49:47 UTC
M 6.0 - NORTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA - 2016-12-08 05:15:03 UTC
M 6.5 - NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA - 2016-12-06 22:03:33 UTC
M 6.0 - TRINIDAD REGION, TRINIDAD-TOBAGO - 2016-12-06 21:42:22 UTC
M 6.3 - BANDA SEA - 2016-12-05 01:13:04 UTC
M 6.2 - SOUTHERN PERU - 2016-12-01 22:40:29 UTC
M 6.5 - SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA - 2016-11-25 14:24:29 UTC
M 7.0 - OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA - 2016-11-24 18:43:48 UTC
M 6.9 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2016-11-21 20:59:49 UTC
M 6.4 - SAN JUAN, ARGENTINA - 2016-11-20 20:57:44 UTC
M 6.5 - SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND - 2016-11-14 00:34:21 UTC
M 7.4 - SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND - 2016-11-13 11:02:58 UTC
M 6.2 - NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2016-11-11 21:43:01 UTC
M 6.0 - OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE - 2016-11-08 04:55:45 UTC
M 6.3 - MAULE, CHILE - 2016-11-04 16:20:44 UTC
M 6.0 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-11-01 19:03:28 UTC
M 6.5 - CENTRAL ITALY - 2016-10-30 06:40:18 UTC
M 6.0 - OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE - 2016-10-27 20:32:55 UTC
M 6.0 - UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA - 2016-10-27 11:53:16 UTC
M 6.1 - CENTRAL ITALY - 2016-10-26 19:18:06 UTC
M 6.0 - TONGA - 2016-10-26 05:19:50 UTC
M 6.2 - WESTERN HONSHU, JAPAN - 2016-10-21 05:07:23 UTC
M 6.6 - JAVA SEA - 2016-10-19 00:26:02 UTC
M 6.0 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2016-10-18 16:36:40 UTC
M 6.8 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-10-17 06:14:57 UTC
M 6.3 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-10-15 08:03:39 UTC
M 6.7 - FIJI REGION - 2016-09-24 21:28:40 UTC
M 6.4 - TONGA - 2016-09-24 21:07:12 UTC
M 6.4 - MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES - 2016-09-23 22:53:09 UTC
M 6.3 - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2016-09-23 00:14:34 UTC
M 6.1 - IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 2016-09-20 16:21:16 UTC
M 6.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-09-14 07:25:00 UTC
M 6.1 - NORTHERN PERU - 2016-09-10 10:08:19 UTC
M 6.1 - MACQUARIE ISLAND REGION - 2016-09-08 21:46:19 UTC
M 6.2 - KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION - 2016-09-05 22:54:04 UTC
M 6.1 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2016-09-01 17:14:02 UTC
M 7.0 - OFF E. COAST OF N. ISLAND, N.Z. - 2016-09-01 16:37:58 UTC
M 6.7 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-08-31 03:11:36 UTC
M 7.1 - NORTH OF ASCENSION ISLAND - 2016-08-29 04:29:59 UTC
M 6.8 - MYANMAR - 2016-08-24 10:34:54 UTC
M 6.2 - CENTRAL ITALY - 2016-08-24 01:36:32 UTC
M 6.1 - FLORES SEA - 2016-08-23 19:39:44 UTC
M 6.4 - SOUTH GEORGIA ISLAND REGION - 2016-08-21 03:45:24 UTC
M 6.0 - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2016-08-20 15:58:04 UTC
M 6.0 - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 2016-08-20 09:01:26 UTC
M 7.4 - SOUTH GEORGIA ISLAND REGION - 2016-08-19 07:32:23 UTC
M 6.0 - SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE - 2016-08-18 18:09:44 UTC
M 6.1 - SOUTH OF FIJI ISLANDS - 2016-08-12 03:29:20 UTC
M 7.2 - SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS - 2016-08-12 01:26:36 UTC
M 6.3 - VOLCANO ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 2016-08-04 16:24:34 UTC
M 6.1 - JUJUY, ARGENTINA - 2016-08-04 14:15:11 UTC
M 6.1 - SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN - 2016-08-01 07:42:57 UTC
M 7.7 - PAGAN REG., N. MARIANA ISLANDS - 2016-07-29 21:18:30 UTC
M 6.3 - OFF COAST OF AISEN, CHILE - 2016-07-27 01:25:12 UTC
M 6.3 - ADMIRALTY ISLANDS REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-07-25 19:38:44 UTC
M 6.1 - ATACAMA, CHILE - 2016-07-25 17:26:48 UTC
M 6.1 - VANUATU - 2016-07-20 15:13:15 UTC
M 6.3 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2016-07-13 12:11:13 UTC
M 6.0 - KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION - 2016-07-13 11:56:58 UTC
M 6.3 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-07-11 02:11:07 UTC
M 6.4 - KYRGYZSTAN - 2016-06-26 11:17:11 UTC
M 6.3 - NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-06-21 17:12:07 UTC
M 6.0 - NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE - 2016-06-21 16:26:35 UTC
M 6.3 - VANUATU - 2016-06-19 09:47:22 UTC
M 6.2 - VANUATU - 2016-06-14 13:49:24 UTC
M 6.1 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2016-06-10 04:17:44 UTC
M 6.0 - NEAR COAST OF NICARAGUA - 2016-06-10 03:25:22 UTC
M 6.1 - SOUTH OF LOMBOK, INDONESIA - 2016-06-09 04:13:08 UTC
M 6.3 - MOLUCCA SEA - 2016-06-07 19:15:16 UTC
M 6.4 - OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO - 2016-06-07 10:51:37 UTC
M 6.0 - KERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND - 2016-06-06 02:35:25 UTC
M 6.3 - BANDA SEA - 2016-06-05 16:25:32 UTC
M 6.5 - KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA - 2016-06-01 22:56:02 UTC
M 6.3 - TAIWAN REGION - 2016-05-31 05:23:47 UTC
M 7.2 - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION - 2016-05-28 09:47:01 UTC
M 6.6 - FIJI REGION - 2016-05-28 05:38:49 UTC
M 6.5 - FIJI REGION - 2016-05-27 04:08:41 UTC
M 6.0 - NORTHERN TERRITORY, AUSTRALIA - 2016-05-20 18:14:05 UTC
M 6.8 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-05-18 16:46:40 UTC
M 6.7 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-05-18 07:57:04 UTC
M 6.6 - NORTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE - 2016-04-29 01:33:37 UTC
M 7.0 - VANUATU - 2016-04-28 19:33:24 UTC
M 6.0 - OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO - 2016-04-27 12:51:23 UTC
M 6.0 - OFFSHORE CHIAPAS, MEXICO - 2016-04-25 07:07:09 UTC
M 6.1 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-04-22 03:03:41 UTC
M 6.1 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-04-20 08:33:46 UTC
M 6.3 - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION - 2016-04-19 05:25:41 UTC
M 7.8 - NEAR COAST OF ECUADOR - 2016-04-16 23:58:37 UTC
M 7.0 - KYUSHU, JAPAN - 2016-04-15 16:25:07 UTC
M 6.2 - OFFSHORE GUATEMALA - 2016-04-15 14:11:30 UTC
M 6.5 - VANUATU - 2016-04-14 21:50:26 UTC
M 6.1 / 6.0 - KYUSHU, JAPAN - 2016-04-14 12:26:36 and 15:03:47 UTC
M 6.9 - MYANMAR - 2016-04-13 13:55:17 UTC
M 6.6 - HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN - 2016-04-10 10:28:58 UTC
M 6.8 - VANUATU - 2016-04-07 03:32:57 UTC
M 6.1 - JAVA, INDONESIA - 2016-04-06 14:45:34 UTC
M 6.7 - VANUATU - 2016-04-06 06:58:49 UTC
M 7.0 - VANUATU - 2016-04-03 08:23:54 UTC
M 6.2 - ALASKA PENINSULA - 2016-04-02 05:50:00 UTC
M 6.1 - NEAR N COAST OF NEW GUINEA, PNG. - 2016-04-01 19:24:56 UTC
M 6.0 - NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN HONSHU - 2016-04-01 02:39:07 UTC
M 6.4 - NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA - 2016-03-20 22:50:20 UTC
M 6.0 - ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA REGION - 2016-03-19 11:26:30 UTC
M 6.1 - ANDREANOV ISLANDS, ALLEUTIAN IS. - 2016-03-19 01:35:10 UTC
M 6.3 - ANDREANOV ISLANDS, ALLEUTIAN IS. - 2016-03-12 18:06:45 UTC
M 6.0 - TONGA - 2016-03-08 05:36:27 UTC
M 7.8 - SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA - 2016-03-02 12:49:46 UTC
M 6.1 - WESTERN INDIAN-ANTARCTIC RIDGE - 2016-02-27 21:29:42 UTC
M 6.0 - HALMAHERA, INDONESIA - 2016-02-17 17:26:02 UTC
M 6.1 - SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE - 2016-02-16 23:48:35 UTC
M 6.0 - TONGA - 2016-02-15 15:02:32 UTC
M 6.2 - SUMBA REGION, INDONESIA - 2016-02-12 10:02:24 UTC
M 6.3 - COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2016-02-10 00:33:05 UTC
M 6.5 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2016-02-08 16:19:14 UTC
M 6.4 - TAIWAN - 2016-02-05 19:57:27 UTC
M 7.0 - KAMCHATKA PENINSULA, RUSSIA - 2016-01-30 03:25:09 UTC
M 7.1 - SOUTHERN ALASKA - 2016-01-24 10:30:30 UTC
M 6.5 - OFF COAST OF JALISCO, MEXICO - 2016-01-21 18:06:58 UTC
M 6.7 - HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION - 2016-01-14 03:25:34 UTC
M 6.5 - KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA - 2016-01-11 16:38:05 UTC
M 6.8 - MANIPUR, INDIA REGION - 2016-01-03 23:05:20 UTC
M 6.5 - CHIAPAS, MEXICO - 2015-12-17 19:49:53 UTC
M 7.0 - BANDA SEA - 2015-12-09 10:21:51 UTC
M 7.2 - TAJIKISTAN - 2015-12-07 07:50:07 UTC
M 7.1 - SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE - 2015-12-04 22:24:54 UTC
M 6.7 - PERU - BRAZIL BORDER REGION - 2015-11-26 05:45:18
M 7.6 - CENTRAL PERU - 2015-11-24 22:50:54 UTC
M 7.0 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-11-18 18:31:05 UTC
M 6.7 - KYUSHU, JAPAN - 2015-11-13 20:51:35 UTC
M 6.8 - OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2015-11-11 02:46:20 UTC
M 6.9 - OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2015-11-11 01:54:37 UTC
M 6.9 - COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2015-11-07 07:31:41 UTC
M 7.5 - HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN - 2015-10-26 09:09:32 UTC
M 7.1 - VANUATU - 2015-10-20 21:52:03 UTC
M 6.9 - NEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA - 2015-09-24 15:53:32 UTC
M 8.3 - OFFSHORE COQUIMBO, CHILE - 2015-09-16 22:54:33 UTC
M 6.9 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2015-08-10 04:12:13 UTC
M 7.0 - PAPUA, INDONESIA - 2015-07-27 21:41:21 UTC
M 6.9 - FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2015-07-27 04:49:45 UTC
M 7.0 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2015-07-18 02:27:33 UTC
M 7.8 - BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 2015-05-30 11:23:03 UTC
M 7.3 - NEPAL - 2015-05-12 07:05:19 UTC
M 7.3 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G. - 2015-05-05 01:44:04 UTC
M 7.8 - NEPAL - 2015-04-25 06:11:26 UTC
for NEPAL / Bihar 1934 - 01 - 15 EQ (Mw = 8.2) click here
M 7.5 - NEW BRITAIN REGION P.N.G - 2015-03-29 23:48:32 UTC
M 7.9 - RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS - 2014-06-23 20:53:09 UTC
M 7.5 - BOUGAINVILLE REGION, P.N.G. - 2014-04-19 13:28:00 UTC
M 7.6 - SOLOMON ISLANDS - 2014-04-12 20:14:37 UTC
M 7.6 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-04-03 02:43:18 UTC
M 8.1 - OFFSHORE TARAPACA, CHILE - 2014-04-01 23:46:47 UTC
M 7.7 - SCOTIA SEA - 2013-11-17 09:04:55 UTC
M 7.7 - PAKISTAN - 2013-09-24 11:29:49 UTC
M 8.3 - SEA OF OKHOTSK - 2013-05-24 05:44:48 UTC
M 7.8 - IRAN-PAKISTAN BORDER REGION - 2013-04-16 10:44:20 UTC
M 7.9 - SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 2013-02-06 01:12:25 UTC
M 7.5 - SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA - 2013-01-05 08:58:19 UTC
M 7.7 - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION - 2012-10-28 03:04:08 UTC
M 7.6 - COSTA RICA - 2012-09-05 14:42:10 UTC
M 7.6 - PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION - 2012-08-31 12:47:32 UTC
M 7.7 - SEA OF OKHOTSK - 2012-08-14 02:59:40 UTC
M 8.0 - OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA - 2012-04-11 10:43:09 UTC
M 8.4 - OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA - 2012-04-11 08:38:35 UTC
Past presented similar case studies:
Do large EQs occur randomly in time? The Mexico EQ
(20th of March, 2012, Mw = 7.4) as viewed in terms of local lithospheric
oscillation due to M1 and K1 tidal components. A brief presentation.
Can large (M >= 8) EQs be triggered by tidal (M1)
waves? An analysis of the global seismicity that occurred during 1901 -
2011.
The Japan earthquake of March 11th, 2011 (Mw = 8.9R)
as viewed in terms of local lithospheric oscillation due to M1 and K1
tidal components. A brief presentation.
A short note on the two most recent large EQs of New
Zealand (Mw=7.0 on September 3rd, 2010 and Mw=6.1 on February 21st,
2011). A typical example of tidally triggered large EQs by the M1 tidal
component.
www.arxiv.org/abs/1002.2162
How "Short" a "Short-term earthquake prediction" can
be? A review of the case of Skyros Island, Greece, EQ (26/7/2001, Ms =
6.1 R).
Detailed analysis of the methodology can be found in the following:
www.earthquakeprediction.gr
Thanassoulas, C., 2007. Short-term Earthquake Prediction, H. Dounias &
Co, Athens, Greece. ISBN No: 978-960-930268-5.
Contact us at: thandin@otenet.gr
Last update: June 26th, 2017